Understanding how home advantage affects football results is key to finding value in football betting and analyzing your own football trading odds. You can find the best บ้านผลบอล at baanzeanball.com. What causes a bias in home advantage? We describe how to calculate it and explain how to avoid it.
It Is Evident That Home Advantage Exists In Football
Many do not realize that sports teams are more competitive at home than on neutral grounds or away from home. Most people believe football has the greatest advantage at home out of all sports.
There have been more victories and goals scored by home teams since 1888 than by away teams.
Additionally, home bias is not just a factor for domestic soccer. In their study, Jim Albert and Ruud H. Koning examined nearly 9,000 matches from 1993 to 2004.
International matches were won by the home team in 50.5% of cases, lost by the away team in 24.5%, and drawn in 25% of cases. A study of all FIFA registered teams found that elite teams like Spain, Brazil, Germany, France, and Italy won more than 60% of their home matches.
Premier League Home Advantage History
The consistency of home advantage in the Premier League can be illustrated by analyzing every season.
What Is The Winning Percentage Of Home Teams In The Premier League?
The following graph illustrates the percentages of wins, draws, and away wins since the Premier League was introduced. With only a 10% difference in home win percentage over 25 seasons, the EPL has been extremely consistent.
There are 46.2% of Premier League teams that win at home, 27.52% that draw, and 26.32% that win away.
What Is The Average Number Of Goals Scored At Home By Premier League Teams
Home and away goals both increased in the Premier League throughout the years, but away goals grew most. Based on the number of goals the home team has scored versus the number that the away team has scored, the home team still has a clear advantage.
Former Manchester United manager Alex Ferguson made Old Trafford a success for his team. For five seasons, United were the top team at home. After retiring from the team at the end of 2012/13, they were no longer the top team. Those same standards have never been met since their retirement.
Different Factors Contribute To Home Advantage
It is important to know what factors contribute to home advantage so that you can measure it accurately.
Crowds
Certainly, fans believe they have an impact on an event’s outcome. Does this actually hold true? How can crowd support be measured? According to Pollard (2006), large crowds do not always indicate a home advantage in football, whereas it may be apparent that a home advantage exists even with small crowds.
There should be consideration of all of these factors, including the number of spectators, their proximity, and the level of support.
Travel
There is a disadvantage to travel for the away team. The research of Pollard (2006) has consistently shown a loss of ‘home advantage’ in local derbies with no travel involved.
This Is The Basis For Betting
When you know the home advantage before a game, you can make informed betting decisions.
Having a goal-based advantage gives the home team an edge when using the Asian Handicap system. So, you can find out the value of a team, especially in leagues with lower rankings.